Looking at the Nigeria State World Cup qualification campaign, it is certainly not like the three -time African champions, they would have imagined it.
For a squad full of individual talent, the possibility of missing the FIFA 2026 World Cup feels more real than ever. But while the road is steep, the trip is not over yet.
The possibilities of the Super Eagles gave a significant blow in March when Zimbabwe retained him to a frustrating 1-1 draw at home.
That result, combined with previous false steps in the qualifiers, left them with only seven points of six games; Six points drift from the leaders of Group C South Africa.
It has been a rocky beginning. Nigeria collected only three points of a possible 12 in its first four games. A managerial change followed, with a renewed sense of hope that led to the March International Window.
The 2-0 victory against Rwanda looked like a turning point, but the draw against Zimbabwe quickly knocked out optimism.
Now, to keep your World Cup dream alive, Nigeria must win the remaining four accessories.
But there is a ray of hope.
South Africa currently leads the group with 13 points. However, the reports suggest that they can face a three -point deduction for filming Teboho Mokoena, which was not eligible due to the accumulation of yellow card.
If applied, that penalty could affect the impulse in favor of Nigeria, especially because the Super Eagles still have to face Bafana Bafana in the reverse accessory.
That party could be crucial. A victory against South Africa, combined with a possible deduction, could see the six -point gap annihilated from once.
Nigeria also faces Rwanda, Benin Republic and Lesotho, teams that must defeat to support any possibility of finishing the upper part of the group.
If the remaining four games win, Nigeria will end with 19 points. That total could be sufficient to overcome the group, especially if South Africa stops falling points or the deduction is confirmed.
Even if they do not head the group, the Eagles could still qualify through a second route.
THE PLAYOFS WAY
Africa has nine automatic qualification points for the 2026 World Cup, with a tenth available through an intercontinental playoffs. The upper team in each group directly qualifies, while the four best runners -up in all groups will enter a playoff to compete for that final space.
As is, the four teams in playoff positions include Gabon (15 points), Namibia (12), Mozambique (12) and Burkina Faso (11).
If Nigeria won their remaining games and reaches 19 points, they have a solid opportunity to reach the playoffs, depending on other results throughout the continent.
While mathematics can offer a path, performances in the field remain Nigeria’s biggest challenge.
For a team loaded with stars, from VΓctor Osimhen to Adelala Lookman and Alex Iwobi, the Super Eagles have fought to deliver when it matters most.
The legendary midfielder Jay-Jay Okocha summarized it better:
“If we want to qualify, those are the games we need to win. I think we can win there, but it will definitely not be easy,” he said in an interview with Idiski Times.
In fact, it will not be easy. But the super eagles must reach the occasion. Missing consecutive world cups would not be preceded since their debut in 1994.
For a nation of the football pedigree of Nigeria, that would be a shame.
The mission is clear. Win all the remaining matches. Hope for a South Africa landslide. And if necessary, fight against the playoffs. The road to the United States, Canada and Mexico is narrow, but is still open.